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UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NLD Nederland - Eredivisie · Wedstrijd ·

N.E.C. vs Telstar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score3–13.82 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst55%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst22%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst55% selection probability
Projected score3–1N.E.C.Telstar
Expected goals3.82Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven73% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
55% / 23% / 22%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Telstar win (21.9%)Dubbele Kans1X78.1%1.28
Boven 73% · Onder 27%Goals 2.5Boven73%1.37
Ja 66% · Nee 34%Beide teams scorenJa66%1.52
3.82 total expected goalsExacte score3–1
10.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
N.E.C. win55%1.82
Gelijkspel23%4.35
Telstar win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

N.E.C.2.56

Thuis share of expected goals 67%

Total expected goals3.82Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 73% · Onder 27%

Telstar1.26

Uit share of expected goals 33%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 66% · Nee 34%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

N.E.C.

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Telstar

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.56
Expected goals
1.26
N.E.C.Telstar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01N.E.C. signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Telstar signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

N.E.C. vs Telstar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

N.E.C. gewonnen 55%,Gelijkspel 23%,Telstar gewonnen 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.82 · Boven 2.5 73% · Current selection Boven