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Ναϊμέγκεν vs Τέλσταρ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score3–13.82 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου63%
Ισοπαλία21%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου16%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου63% selection probability
Projected score3–1ΝαϊμέγκενΤέλσταρ
Expected goals3.82Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω73% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
63% / 21% / 16%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Τέλσταρ win (15.9%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X84.1%1.19
Άνω 73% · Κάτω 27%Goals 2.5Άνω73%1.37
Ναι 66% · Όχι 34%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι66%1.52
3.82 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ3–1
10.6 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.6%Largest probability gapΝαϊμέγκεν winDifference-0.2 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ναϊμέγκεν win63%1.591.5063.2%-0.2 pp
Ισοπαλία21%4.764.5021.1%-0.1 pp
Τέλσταρ win16%6.256.0015.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ναϊμέγκεν2.56

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 67%

Total expected goals3.82Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 73% · Κάτω 27%

Τέλσταρ1.26

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 33%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitΝαι 66% · Όχι 34%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ναϊμέγκεν

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Τέλσταρ

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
16%
4
Points from supplied form
7
2.56
Expected goals
1.26
ΝαϊμέγκενΤέλσταρ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ναϊμέγκεν signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Τέλσταρ signalΦιλοξενούμενος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Ναϊμέγκεν vs Τέλσταρ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ναϊμέγκεν νίκη 63%,Ισοπαλία 21%,Τέλσταρ νίκη 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.82 · Άνω 2.5 73% · Current selection Άνω