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Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Excelsior

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.02 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier38%
Uavgjort28%
Borteseier35%
Market-based forecastHjemmeseierTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier38% selection probability
Projected score2–1Cambuur LeeuwardenExcelsior
Expected goals3.02Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over58% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
38% / 28% / 35%KampresultatHjemmeseier38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Dobbel sjanse1272.4%1.38
Over 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Over58%1.72
Ja 62% · Nei 38%Begge lag scorerJa62%1.61
3.02 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin4.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cambuur Leeuwarden win38%2.632.6036.7%
Uavgjort28%3.573.4028%
Excelsior win35%2.862.7035.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cambuur Leeuwarden1.58

Hjemme share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals3.02Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 58% · Under 42%

Excelsior1.44

Borte share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 62% · Nei 38%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Cambuur Leeuwarden

0.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Poeng2

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Excelsior

2.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poeng13

SignalBorte unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
35%
2
Points from supplied form
13
1.58
Expected goals
1.44
Cambuur LeeuwardenExcelsior
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cambuur Leeuwarden signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Excelsior signalBorte unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Excelsior FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cambuur Leeuwarden vunnet 38%,Uavgjort 28%,Excelsior vunnet 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.02 · Over 2.5 58% · Current selection Over