Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 28% / 35%Match resultHome win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Double chance1272.4%1.38
Over 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Over58%1.72
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.02 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin4.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cambuur Leeuwarden win38%2.632.6036.7%—
Draw28%3.573.4028%—
Excelsior win35%2.862.7035.3%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 52.3%
Total expected goals3.02Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 58% · Under 42%
Away share of expected goals 47.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchCambuur Leeuwarden
LLLDD
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchExcelsior
WWWDW
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalAway unbeaten 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
38%
Win probability excluding draw
35%2
Points from supplied form
131.58
Expected goals
1.44Cambuur LeeuwardenExcelsior
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Excelsior FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 38% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Cambuur Leeuwarden win 38%，Draw 28%，Excelsior win 35%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.02 · Over 2.5 58% · Current selection Over。