Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
28% / 29% / 43%Match resultAway win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sportivo Ameliano win (27.8%)Double chanceX272.2%1.39
Over 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
2.18 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapSportivo Ameliano winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Ameliano win28%3.573.3027.5%+0.5 pp
Draw29%3.453.1029.3%-0.3 pp
Cerro Porteno win43%2.332.1043.2%-0.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 46.3%
Total expected goals2.18Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 37% · Under 63%
Away share of expected goals 53.7%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchSportivo Ameliano
DDDLL
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchCerro Porteno
WLLWW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalAway won 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
28%
Win probability excluding draw
43%3
Points from supplied form
91.01
Expected goals
1.17Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteno
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sportivo Ameliano win 28%，Draw 29%，Cerro Porteno win 43%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.18 · Over 2.5 37% · Current selection Under。