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PRY Paraguay Division Profesional · Partida ·

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteño

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.18 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa28%
Empate29%
Vitória visitante43%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteño
Expected goals2.18Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo63% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
28% / 29% / 43%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sportivo Ameliano win (27.8%)Dupla ChanceX272.2%1.39
Acima 37% · Abaixo 63%Goals 2.5Abaixo63%1.59
Sim 44% · Não 56%Ambas as equipes marcamNão56%1.79
2.18 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapSportivo Ameliano winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Ameliano win28%3.573.3027.5%+0.5 pp
Empate29%3.453.1029.3%-0.3 pp
Cerro Porteño win43%2.332.1043.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Ameliano1.01

Mandante share of expected goals 46.3%

Total expected goals2.18Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 37% · Abaixo 63%

Cerro Porteño1.17

Visitante share of expected goals 53.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 44% · Não 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Sportivo Ameliano

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Pontos3

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Cerro Porteño

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalVisitante won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.01
Expected goals
1.17
Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteño
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Ameliano signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro Porteño signalVisitante won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteño FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Ameliano ganhou 28%,Empate 29%,Cerro Porteño ganhou 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.18 · Acima 2.5 37% · Current selection Abaixo