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PRY Paraguay Division Profesional · Kamp ·

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.18 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier28%
Uavgjort29%
Borteseier43%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteno
Expected goals2.18Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
28% / 29% / 43%KampresultatBorteseier43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sportivo Ameliano win (27.8%)Dobbel sjanseX272.2%1.39
Over 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Ja 44% · Nei 56%Begge lag scorerNei56%1.79
2.18 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapSportivo Ameliano winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Ameliano win28%3.573.3027.5%+0.5 pp
Uavgjort29%3.453.1029.3%-0.3 pp
Cerro Porteno win43%2.332.1043.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Ameliano1.01

Hjemme share of expected goals 46.3%

Total expected goals2.18Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 37% · Under 63%

Cerro Porteno1.17

Borte share of expected goals 53.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nei 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Sportivo Ameliano

0.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Poeng3

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Cerro Porteno

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalBorte won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.01
Expected goals
1.17
Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Ameliano signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro Porteno signalBorte won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Ameliano vunnet 28%,Uavgjort 29%,Cerro Porteno vunnet 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.18 · Over 2.5 37% · Current selection Under