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PRY Paraguay Division Profesional · Maç ·

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.18 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır28%
Beraberlik29%
Deplasman kazanır43%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteno
Expected goals2.18Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt63% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
28% / 29% / 43%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sportivo Ameliano win (27.8%)Çifte ŞansX272.2%1.39
Üst 37% · Alt 63%Goals 2.5Alt63%1.59
Evet 44% · Hayır 56%Karşılıklı gol varHayır56%1.79
2.18 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
8.8 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapSportivo Ameliano winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Ameliano win28%3.573.3027.5%+0.5 pp
Beraberlik29%3.453.1029.3%-0.3 pp
Cerro Porteno win43%2.332.1043.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Ameliano1.01

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 46.3%

Total expected goals2.18Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 37% · Alt 63%

Cerro Porteno1.17

Deplasman share of expected goals 53.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 44% · Hayır 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Sportivo Ameliano

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puan3

SignalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Cerro Porteno

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puan9

SignalDeplasman won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.01
Expected goals
1.17
Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Ameliano signalEv Sahibi matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro Porteno signalDeplasman won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Ameliano kazanç 28%,Beraberlik 29%,Cerro Porteno kazanç 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.18 · 2.5 Üst 37% · Current selection Alt