MatchFormula Spiel finden
Menu
UTC+8
ZeitzoneAsia/Shanghai
Deutsch
PRY Paraguay - División Profesional · Spiel ·

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteño

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.18 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg28%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg43%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteño
Expected goals2.18Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter63% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
28% / 29% / 43%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sportivo Ameliano win (27.8%)Doppelte ChanceX272.2%1.39
Über 37% · Unter 63%Goals 2.5Unter63%1.59
Ja 44% · Nein 56%Beide Teams treffenNein56%1.79
2.18 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.8 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapSportivo Ameliano winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Ameliano win28%3.573.3027.5%+0.5 pp
Unentschieden29%3.453.1029.3%-0.3 pp
Cerro Porteño win43%2.332.1043.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Ameliano1.01

Heim share of expected goals 46.3%

Total expected goals2.18Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 37% · Unter 63%

Cerro Porteño1.17

Auswärts share of expected goals 53.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nein 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Sportivo Ameliano

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkte3

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Cerro Porteño

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalAuswärts won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.01
Expected goals
1.17
Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteño
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Ameliano signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro Porteño signalAuswärts won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteño FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Ameliano Gewinn 28%,Unentschieden 29%,Cerro Porteño Gewinn 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.18 · Über 2.5 37% · Current selection Unter