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PRY Paraguay Division Profesional · Мач ·

Спортиво Амелиано vs Серо Портено

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.18 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина28%
Равен29%
Победа за госта43%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Спортиво АмелианоСеро Портено
Expected goals2.18Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под63% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
28% / 29% / 43%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Спортиво Амелиано win (27.8%)Двоен шансX272.2%1.39
Над 37% · Под 63%Goals 2.5Под63%1.59
Да 44% · Не 56%И двата отбора да отбележатНе56%1.79
2.18 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
8.8 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapСпортиво Амелиано winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Спортиво Амелиано win28%3.573.3027.5%+0.5 pp
Равен29%3.453.1029.3%-0.3 pp
Серо Портено win43%2.332.1043.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Спортиво Амелиано1.01

Домакин share of expected goals 46.3%

Total expected goals2.18Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 37% · Под 63%

Серо Портено1.17

Гост share of expected goals 53.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 44% · Не 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Спортиво Амелиано

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Точки3

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Серо Портено

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalГост won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.01
Expected goals
1.17
Спортиво АмелианоСеро Портено
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Спортиво Амелиано signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Серо Портено signalГост won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Спортиво Амелиано vs Серо Портено FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Спортиво Амелиано печеливш 28%,Равен 29%,Серо Портено печеливш 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.18 · Над 2.5 37% · Current selection Под