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PRY Paraguay Division Profesional · Zápas ·

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–12.18 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích28%
Remíza29%
Výhra hostů43%
Full model forecastVýhra hostůTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostů43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteno
Expected goals2.18Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně63% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
28% / 29% / 43%Výsledek zápasuVýhra hostů43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sportivo Ameliano win (27.8%)Dvojitá šanceX272.2%1.39
Více 37% · Méně 63%Goals 2.5Méně63%1.59
Ano 44% · Ne 56%Oba týmy skórujíNe56%1.79
2.18 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
8.8 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapSportivo Ameliano winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Ameliano win28%3.573.3027.5%+0.5 pp
Remíza29%3.453.1029.3%-0.3 pp
Cerro Porteno win43%2.332.1043.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Ameliano1.01

Domácí share of expected goals 46.3%

Total expected goals2.18Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 37% · Méně 63%

Cerro Porteno1.17

Hosté share of expected goals 53.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 44% · Ne 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Sportivo Ameliano

0.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Body3

SignalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Cerro Porteno

1.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalHosté won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Výhra probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.01
Expected goals
1.17
Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Ameliano signalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro Porteno signalHosté won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostů · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Ameliano výhra 28%,Remíza 29%,Cerro Porteno výhra 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.18 · Více 2.5 37% · Current selection Méně