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PRY Paraguay - Division Profesional · Match ·

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.18 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile28%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur43%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteno
Expected goals2.18Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de63% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
28% / 29% / 43%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sportivo Ameliano win (27.8%)Double chanceX272.2%1.39
Plus de 37% · Moins de 63%Goals 2.5Moins de63%1.59
Oui 44% · Non 56%Les deux équipes marquentNon56%1.79
2.18 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapSportivo Ameliano winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sportivo Ameliano win28%3.573.3027.5%+0.5 pp
Nul29%3.453.1029.3%-0.3 pp
Cerro Porteno win43%2.332.1043.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Ameliano1.01

Domicile share of expected goals 46.3%

Total expected goals2.18Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 37% · Moins de 63%

Cerro Porteno1.17

Extérieur share of expected goals 53.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 44% · Non 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Sportivo Ameliano

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Cerro Porteno

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalExtérieur won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Gagné probability excluding draw
43%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.01
Expected goals
1.17
Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Ameliano signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro Porteno signalExtérieur won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Ameliano victoire 28%,Nul 29%,Cerro Porteno victoire 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.18 · Plus de 2.5 37% · Current selection Moins de