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PRY Paraguay Division Profesional · Fixture ·

2 de Mayo vs Olimpia Asuncion

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.48 expected goals
Away form
Home win29%
Draw29%
Away win41%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability
Projected score1–12 de MayoOlimpia Asuncion
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
29% / 29% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Double chance1270.7%1.41
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreNo50%2.00
2.48 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
2 de Mayo win29%3.45
Draw29%3.45
Olimpia Asuncion win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

2 de Mayo1.05

Home share of expected goals 42.3%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

Olimpia Asuncion1.43

Away share of expected goals 57.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

2 de Mayo

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Olimpia Asuncion

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Win probability excluding draw
41%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.05
Expected goals
1.43
2 de MayoOlimpia Asuncion
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

012 de Mayo signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Olimpia Asuncion signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

2 de Mayo vs Olimpia Asuncion FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

2 de Mayo win 29%,Draw 29%,Olimpia Asuncion win 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under