Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 31% / 29%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guarani Asuncion win (29.4%)Double chance1X70.6%1.42
Over 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
2.17 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Nacional Asuncion win39%2.56
Draw31%3.23
Guarani Asuncion win29%3.45
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 56.7%
Total expected goals2.17Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 37% · Under 63%
Away share of expected goals 43.3%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchNacional Asuncion
LWDWD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchGuarani Asuncion
WWLLW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalAway won 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
39%
Win probability excluding draw
29%8
Points from supplied form
91.23
Expected goals
0.94Nacional AsuncionGuarani Asuncion
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.
Match questions
Nacional Asuncion vs Guarani Asuncion FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Nacional Asuncion win 39%，Draw 31%，Guarani Asuncion win 29%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.17 · Over 2.5 37% · Current selection Under。