Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
39% / 31% / 30%Esito partitaVittoria casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guarani Asuncion win (29.5%)Doppia Chance1X70.5%1.42
Sopra 37% · Sotto 63%Goals 2.5Sotto63%1.59
Sì 44% · No 56%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56%1.79
2.17 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1——
8.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Nacional Asunción win39%2.56
Pareggio31%3.23
Guarani Asuncion win30%3.33
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 56.7%
Total expected goals2.17Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 37% · Sotto 63%
Trasferta share of expected goals 43.3%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSì 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchNacional Asunción
LWDWD
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8
SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchGuarani Asuncion
WWLLW
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9
SignalTrasferta won 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
39%
Vinta probability excluding draw
30%8
Points from supplied form
91.23
Expected goals
0.94Nacional AsunciónGuarani Asuncion
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 31%.
Match questions
Nacional Asunción vs Guarani Asuncion FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Nacional Asunción vinta 39%，Pareggio 31%，Guarani Asuncion vinta 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.17 · Sopra 2.5 37% · Current selection Sotto。