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PRY Paraguay - Division Profesional · Partita ·

Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa28%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite42%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo San LorenzoSportivo Luqueno
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto59% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
28% / 30% / 42%Esito partitaVittoria ospite42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sportivo San Lorenzo win (28.1%)Doppia ChanceX271.9%1.39
Sopra 41% · Sotto 59%Goals 2.5Sotto59%1.69
Sì 47% · No 53%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo53%1.89
2.34 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Sportivo San Lorenzo win28%3.57
Pareggio30%3.33
Sportivo Luqueno win42%2.38

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo San Lorenzo0.96

Casa share of expected goals 41%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 41% · Sotto 59%

Sportivo Luqueno1.38

Trasferta share of expected goals 59%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 47% · No 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Sportivo San Lorenzo

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Sportivo Luqueno

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Vinta probability excluding draw
42%
5
Points from supplied form
4
0.96
Expected goals
1.38
Sportivo San LorenzoSportivo Luqueno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo San Lorenzo signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sportivo Luqueno signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo San Lorenzo vinta 28%,Pareggio 30%,Sportivo Luqueno vinta 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Sopra 2.5 41% · Current selection Sotto