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PRY Paraguay - Division Profesional · Partita ·

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa32%
Pareggio31%
Vittoria ospite37%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteno
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto63% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
32% / 31% / 37%Esito partitaVittoria ospite37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.1%)Doppia Chance1268.9%1.45
Sopra 37% · Sotto 63%Goals 2.5Sotto63%1.59
Sì 44% · No 56%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56%1.79
2.19 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Sportivo Ameliano win32%3.13
Pareggio31%3.23
Cerro Porteno win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Ameliano1.02

Casa share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 37% · Sotto 63%

Cerro Porteno1.17

Trasferta share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Sportivo Ameliano

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punti3

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Cerro Porteno

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalTrasferta won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Vinta probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.02
Expected goals
1.17
Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Ameliano signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro Porteno signalTrasferta won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Ameliano vinta 32%,Pareggio 31%,Cerro Porteno vinta 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Sopra 2.5 37% · Current selection Sotto