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PRY Paraguay Division Profesional · Mecz ·

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy32%
Remis31%
Wygrana gości37%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteno
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej63% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
32% / 31% / 37%Wynik meczuWygrana gości37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31%)Podwójna szansa1269%1.45
Powyżej 37% · Poniżej 63%Goals 2.5Poniżej63%1.59
Tak 44% · Nie 56%Obie drużyny strzeląNie56%1.79
2.19 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.8 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Sportivo Ameliano win32%3.13
Remis31%3.23
Cerro Porteno win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Ameliano1.02

Gospodarze share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 37% · Poniżej 63%

Cerro Porteno1.17

Goście share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 44% · Nie 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Sportivo Ameliano

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkty3

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Cerro Porteno

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGoście won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.02
Expected goals
1.17
Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Ameliano signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro Porteno signalGoście won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Ameliano wygrana 32%,Remis 31%,Cerro Porteno wygrana 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Powyżej 2.5 37% · Current selection Poniżej