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PRY Paraguay Division Profesional · Мач ·

Спортиво Амелиано vs Серо Портено

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина32%
Равен31%
Победа за госта37%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Спортиво АмелианоСеро Портено
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под63% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
32% / 31% / 37%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.1%)Двоен шанс1268.9%1.45
Над 37% · Под 63%Goals 2.5Под63%1.59
Да 44% · Не 56%И двата отбора да отбележатНе56%1.79
2.19 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
8.8 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Спортиво Амелиано win32%3.13
Равен31%3.23
Серо Портено win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Спортиво Амелиано1.02

Домакин share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 37% · Под 63%

Серо Портено1.17

Гост share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 44% · Не 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Спортиво Амелиано

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Точки3

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Серо Портено

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalГост won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.02
Expected goals
1.17
Спортиво АмелианоСеро Портено
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Спортиво Амелиано signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Серо Портено signalГост won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Спортиво Амелиано vs Серо Портено FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Спортиво Амелиано печеливш 32%,Равен 31%,Серо Портено печеливш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Над 2.5 37% · Current selection Под