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PRY Paraguay - División Profesional · Spiel ·

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteño

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg32%
Unentschieden31%
Auswärtssieg37%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteño
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter63% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
32% / 31% / 37%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.1%)Doppelte Chance1268.9%1.45
Über 37% · Unter 63%Goals 2.5Unter63%1.59
Ja 44% · Nein 56%Beide Teams treffenNein56%1.79
2.19 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.8 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Sportivo Ameliano win32%3.13
Unentschieden31%3.23
Cerro Porteño win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Ameliano1.02

Heim share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 37% · Unter 63%

Cerro Porteño1.17

Auswärts share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nein 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Sportivo Ameliano

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkte3

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Cerro Porteño

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalAuswärts won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.02
Expected goals
1.17
Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteño
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Ameliano signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro Porteño signalAuswärts won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteño FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Ameliano Gewinn 32%,Unentschieden 31%,Cerro Porteño Gewinn 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Über 2.5 37% · Current selection Unter