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PRY Paraguay - División Profesional · Spiel ·

Rubio Nu vs Deportivo Recoleta

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg39%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg32%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Rubio NuDeportivo Recoleta
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
39% / 29% / 32%SpielergebnisHeimsieg39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.2%)Doppelte Chance1270.8%1.41
Über 40% · Unter 60%Goals 2.5Unter60%1.67
Ja 43% · Nein 57%Beide Teams treffenNein57%1.75
2.28 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDeportivo Recoleta winDifference+2.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Rubio Nu win39%2.562.2040.9%-1.9 pp
Unentschieden29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Deportivo Recoleta win32%3.133.0030%+2.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Rubio Nu0.83

Heim share of expected goals 36.4%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 40% · Unter 60%

Deportivo Recoleta1.45

Auswärts share of expected goals 63.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nein 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Rubio Nu

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Deportivo Recoleta

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
32%
2
Points from supplied form
10
0.83
Expected goals
1.45
Rubio NuDeportivo Recoleta
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Rubio Nu signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Recoleta signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Rubio Nu vs Deportivo Recoleta FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Rubio Nu Gewinn 39%,Unentschieden 29%,Deportivo Recoleta Gewinn 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Über 2.5 40% · Current selection Unter