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PRY Paraguay Division Profesional · Zápas ·

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích32%
Remíza31%
Výhra hostů37%
Full model forecastVýhra hostůTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostů37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteno
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně63% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
32% / 31% / 37%Výsledek zápasuVýhra hostů37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.1%)Dvojitá šance1268.9%1.45
Více 37% · Méně 63%Goals 2.5Méně63%1.59
Ano 44% · Ne 56%Oba týmy skórujíNe56%1.79
2.19 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
8.8 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Sportivo Ameliano win32%3.13
Remíza31%3.23
Cerro Porteno win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo Ameliano1.02

Domácí share of expected goals 46.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 37% · Méně 63%

Cerro Porteno1.17

Hosté share of expected goals 53.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 44% · Ne 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Sportivo Ameliano

0.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Body3

SignalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Cerro Porteno

1.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalHosté won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Výhra probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.02
Expected goals
1.17
Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo Ameliano signalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro Porteno signalHosté won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostů · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo Ameliano výhra 32%,Remíza 31%,Cerro Porteno výhra 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Více 2.5 37% · Current selection Méně