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PRY Paraguay Division Profesional · Fixture ·

Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Away form
Home win28%
Draw30%
Away win42%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sportivo San LorenzoSportivo Luqueno
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
28% / 30% / 42%Match resultAway win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sportivo San Lorenzo win (28.1%)Double chanceX271.9%1.39
Over 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
2.34 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sportivo San Lorenzo win28%3.57
Draw30%3.33
Sportivo Luqueno win42%2.38

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sportivo San Lorenzo0.96

Home share of expected goals 41%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 41% · Under 59%

Sportivo Luqueno1.38

Away share of expected goals 59%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sportivo San Lorenzo

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sportivo Luqueno

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Win probability excluding draw
42%
5
Points from supplied form
4
0.96
Expected goals
1.38
Sportivo San LorenzoSportivo Luqueno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sportivo San Lorenzo signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sportivo Luqueno signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Luqueno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sportivo San Lorenzo win 28%,Draw 30%,Sportivo Luqueno win 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Over 2.5 41% · Current selection Under