Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
39% / 31% / 30%Resultado del partidoVictoria local39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Club Guaraní win (29.5%)Doble Oportunidad1X70.5%1.42
Más de 37% · Menos de 63%Goals 2.5Menos de63%1.59
Sí 44% · No 56%Ambos equipos marcanNo56%1.79
2.17 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1——
8.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Club Nacional win39%2.56
Empate31%3.23
Club Guaraní win30%3.33
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Local share of expected goals 56.7%
Total expected goals2.17Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Más de 37% · Menos de 63%
Visitante share of expected goals 43.3%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSí 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Local-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchClub Nacional
LWDWD
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8
SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5
Visitante-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchClub Guaraní
WWLLW
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9
SignalVisitante won 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
39%
Ganado probability excluding draw
30%8
Points from supplied form
91.23
Expected goals
0.94Club NacionalClub Guaraní
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.
Match questions
Club Nacional vs Club Guaraní FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Club Nacional ganada 39%，Empate 31%，Club Guaraní ganada 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.17 · Más de 2.5 37% · Current selection Menos de。