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PRY Paraguay Division Profesional · Match ·

Nacional Asunción vs Guarani Asuncion

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.17 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger40%
Oavgjort31%
Bortaseger29%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Nacional AsunciónGuarani Asuncion
Expected goals2.17Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under63% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
40% / 31% / 29%MatchresultatHemmaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guarani Asuncion win (29.4%)Dubbelchans1X70.6%1.42
Över 37% · Under 63%Goals 2.5Under63%1.59
Ja 44% · Nej 56%Båda lagen gör målNej56%1.79
2.17 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.3 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Nacional Asunción win40%2.50
Oavgjort31%3.23
Guarani Asuncion win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nacional Asunción1.23

Hemma share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals2.17Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 37% · Under 63%

Guarani Asuncion0.94

Borta share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nej 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Nacional Asunción

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Guarani Asuncion

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalBorta won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
29%
8
Points from supplied form
9
1.23
Expected goals
0.94
Nacional AsunciónGuarani Asuncion
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nacional Asunción signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Guarani Asuncion signalBorta won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Nacional Asunción vs Guarani Asuncion FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nacional Asunción vunnen 40%,Oavgjort 31%,Guarani Asuncion vunnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.17 · Över 2.5 37% · Current selection Under