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EST Estonie - Esiliiga B · Round 21 ·

FA Kalev Tartu vs JK Viljandi Tulevik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–24.16 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile49%
Nul20%
Victoire à l’extérieur31%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile49% selection probability
Projected score2–2FA Kalev TartuJK Viljandi Tulevik
Expected goals4.16Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de78% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui76% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
49% / 20% / 31%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20%)Double chance1280%1.25
Plus de 78% · Moins de 22%Goals 2.5Plus de78%1.28
Oui 76% · Non 24%Les deux équipes marquentOui76%1.32
4.16 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
10.4 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FA Kalev Tartu win49%2.041.8349%0.0 pp
Nul20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
JK Viljandi Tulevik win31%3.232.8831.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FA Kalev Tartu2.26

Domicile share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals4.16Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 78% · Moins de 22%

JK Viljandi Tulevik1.90

Extérieur share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 76% · Non 24%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

FA Kalev Tartu

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

JK Viljandi Tulevik

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalExtérieur clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gagné probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
3
2.26
Expected goals
1.90
FA Kalev TartuJK Viljandi Tulevik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FA Kalev Tartu signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Viljandi Tulevik signalExtérieur clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

FA Kalev Tartu vs JK Viljandi Tulevik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FA Kalev Tartu victoire 49%,Nul 20%,JK Viljandi Tulevik victoire 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.16 · Plus de 2.5 78% · Current selection Plus de