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UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
EST Estland - Esiliiga B · Round 21 ·

FA Kalev Tartu vs JK Viljandi Tulevik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–24.16 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst49%
Gelijkspel20%
Uitwinst31%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst49% selection probability
Projected score2–2FA Kalev TartuJK Viljandi Tulevik
Expected goals4.16Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven78% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa76% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
49% / 20% / 31%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20%)Dubbele Kans1280%1.25
Boven 78% · Onder 22%Goals 2.5Boven78%1.28
Ja 76% · Nee 24%Beide teams scorenJa76%1.32
4.16 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FA Kalev Tartu win49%2.041.8349%0.0 pp
Gelijkspel20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
JK Viljandi Tulevik win31%3.232.8831.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FA Kalev Tartu2.26

Thuis share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals4.16Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 78% · Onder 22%

JK Viljandi Tulevik1.90

Uit share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 76% · Nee 24%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FA Kalev Tartu

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

JK Viljandi Tulevik

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3

SignalUit clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
3
2.26
Expected goals
1.90
FA Kalev TartuJK Viljandi Tulevik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FA Kalev Tartu signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Viljandi Tulevik signalUit clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

FA Kalev Tartu vs JK Viljandi Tulevik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FA Kalev Tartu gewonnen 49%,Gelijkspel 20%,JK Viljandi Tulevik gewonnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.16 · Boven 2.5 78% · Current selection Boven