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AjavööndAsia/Shanghai
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EST Eesti esiliiga B · Round 21 ·

FA Kalev Tartu vs Viljandi JK Tulevik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–24.16 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit49%
Viik20%
Võõrsilvõit31%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit49% selection probability
Projected score2–2FA Kalev TartuViljandi JK Tulevik
Expected goals4.16Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle78% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah76% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
49% / 20% / 31%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20%)Topeltvõimalus1280%1.25
Üle 78% · Alla 22%Goals 2.5Üle78%1.28
Jah 76% · Ei 24%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah76%1.32
4.16 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–2
10.4 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FA Kalev Tartu win49%2.041.8349%0.0 pp
Viik20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
Viljandi JK Tulevik win31%3.232.8831.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FA Kalev Tartu2.26

Kodu share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals4.16Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 78% · Alla 22%

Viljandi JK Tulevik1.90

Võõras share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJah 76% · Ei 24%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

FA Kalev Tartu

1.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punktid6

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 5/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Viljandi JK Tulevik

0.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punktid3

SignalVõõras clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Võit probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
3
2.26
Expected goals
1.90
FA Kalev TartuViljandi JK Tulevik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FA Kalev Tartu signalKodu matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Viljandi JK Tulevik signalVõõras clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

FA Kalev Tartu vs Viljandi JK Tulevik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FA Kalev Tartu võit 49%,Viik 20%,Viljandi JK Tulevik võit 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.16 · Üle 2.5 78% · Current selection Üle