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EST エストニア エシリーガB · Round 21 ·

FAカレフタルトゥ vs JKヴィリャンディ・トゥレヴィク

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–24.16 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利41%
引き分け21%
アウェイ勝利38%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利41% selection probability
Projected score2–2FAカレフタルトゥJKヴィリャンディ・トゥレヴィク
Expected goals4.16始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー78% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい76% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
41% / 21% / 38%試合結果ホーム勝利41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.8%)ダブルチャンス1279.2%1.26
オーバー 78% · アンダー 22%Goals 2.5オーバー78%1.28
はい 76% · いいえ 24%両チーム得点はい76%1.32
4.16 total expected goals正確なスコア2–2
10.4 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapJKヴィリャンディ・トゥレヴィク winDifference-0.3 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FAカレフタルトゥ win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp
引き分け21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
JKヴィリャンディ・トゥレヴィク win38%2.632.3538.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FAカレフタルトゥ2.26

ホーム share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals4.16始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 78% · アンダー 22%

JKヴィリャンディ・トゥレヴィク1.90

アウェイ share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitはい 76% · いいえ 24%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

FAカレフタルトゥ

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

JKヴィリャンディ・トゥレヴィク

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn3Losses2ポイント3

Signalアウェイ clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
勝ち probability excluding draw
38%
6
Points from supplied form
3
2.26
Expected goals
1.90
FAカレフタルトゥJKヴィリャンディ・トゥレヴィク
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FAカレフタルトゥ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JKヴィリャンディ・トゥレヴィク signalアウェイ clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

FAカレフタルトゥ vs JKヴィリャンディ・トゥレヴィク FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FAカレフタルトゥ 勝ち 41%,引き分け 21%,JKヴィリャンディ・トゥレヴィク 勝ち 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.16 · オーバー 2.5 78% · Current selection オーバー