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Slovenčina
EST Estónsko - Esiliiga B · Round 21 ·

FA Kalev Tartu vs JK Viljandi Tulevik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–24.16 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich49%
Remíza20%
Výhra hostí31%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich49% selection probability
Projected score2–2FA Kalev TartuJK Viljandi Tulevik
Expected goals4.16Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac78% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno76% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
49% / 20% / 31%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20%)Dvojitá šanca1280%1.25
Viac 78% · Menej 22%Goals 2.5Viac78%1.28
Áno 76% · Nie 24%Oba tímy skórujúÁno76%1.32
4.16 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–2
10.4 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FA Kalev Tartu win49%2.041.8349%0.0 pp
Remíza20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
JK Viljandi Tulevik win31%3.232.8831.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FA Kalev Tartu2.26

Domáci share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals4.16Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 78% · Menej 22%

JK Viljandi Tulevik1.90

Hostia share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitÁno 76% · Nie 24%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

FA Kalev Tartu

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

JK Viljandi Tulevik

0.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Body3

SignalHostia clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Výhra probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
3
2.26
Expected goals
1.90
FA Kalev TartuJK Viljandi Tulevik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FA Kalev Tartu signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Viljandi Tulevik signalHostia clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

FA Kalev Tartu vs JK Viljandi Tulevik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FA Kalev Tartu výhra 49%,Remíza 20%,JK Viljandi Tulevik výhra 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.16 · Viac 2.5 78% · Current selection Viac