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EST Észtország - Esiliiga B · Round 21 ·

FA Kalev Tartu vs JK Viljandi Tulevik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–24.16 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem49%
Döntetlen20%
Vendég győzelem31%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem49% selection probability
Projected score2–2FA Kalev TartuJK Viljandi Tulevik
Expected goals4.16Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett78% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen76% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
49% / 20% / 31%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20%)Dupla esély1280%1.25
Felett 78% · Alatt 22%Goals 2.5Felett78%1.28
Igen 76% · Nem 24%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen76%1.32
4.16 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–2
10.4 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FA Kalev Tartu win49%2.041.8349%0.0 pp
Döntetlen20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
JK Viljandi Tulevik win31%3.232.8831.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FA Kalev Tartu2.26

Hazai share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals4.16Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 78% · Alatt 22%

JK Viljandi Tulevik1.90

Vendég share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitIgen 76% · Nem 24%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

FA Kalev Tartu

1.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontok6

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

JK Viljandi Tulevik

0.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Pontok3

SignalVendég clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Nyert probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
3
2.26
Expected goals
1.90
FA Kalev TartuJK Viljandi Tulevik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FA Kalev Tartu signalHazai matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Viljandi Tulevik signalVendég clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

FA Kalev Tartu vs JK Viljandi Tulevik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FA Kalev Tartu nyer 49%,Döntetlen 20%,JK Viljandi Tulevik nyer 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.16 · 2.5 felett 78% · Current selection Felett