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EST Estonia Esiliiga B · Round 21 ·

FA Kalev Tartu vs JK Viljandi Tulevik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–24.16 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır49%
Beraberlik20%
Deplasman kazanır31%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır49% selection probability
Projected score2–2FA Kalev TartuJK Viljandi Tulevik
Expected goals4.16Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst78% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet76% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
49% / 20% / 31%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20%)Çifte Şans1280%1.25
Üst 78% · Alt 22%Goals 2.5Üst78%1.28
Evet 76% · Hayır 24%Karşılıklı gol varEvet76%1.32
4.16 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–2
10.4 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FA Kalev Tartu win49%2.041.8349%0.0 pp
Beraberlik20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
JK Viljandi Tulevik win31%3.232.8831.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FA Kalev Tartu2.26

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals4.16Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 78% · Alt 22%

JK Viljandi Tulevik1.90

Deplasman share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitEvet 76% · Hayır 24%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

FA Kalev Tartu

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

JK Viljandi Tulevik

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puan3

SignalDeplasman clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
3
2.26
Expected goals
1.90
FA Kalev TartuJK Viljandi Tulevik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FA Kalev Tartu signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Viljandi Tulevik signalDeplasman clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

FA Kalev Tartu vs JK Viljandi Tulevik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FA Kalev Tartu kazanç 49%,Beraberlik 20%,JK Viljandi Tulevik kazanç 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.16 · 2.5 Üst 78% · Current selection Üst