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EST Estonia - Esiliiga B · Round 21 ·

FA Kalev Tartu vs JK Viljandi Tulevik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–24.16 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy41%
Remis21%
Wygrana gości38%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy41% selection probability
Projected score2–2FA Kalev TartuJK Viljandi Tulevik
Expected goals4.16Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej78% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak76% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
41% / 21% / 38%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.8%)Podwójna szansa1279.2%1.26
Powyżej 78% · Poniżej 22%Goals 2.5Powyżej78%1.28
Tak 76% · Nie 24%Obie drużyny strzeląTak76%1.32
4.16 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–2
10.4 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapJK Viljandi Tulevik winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FA Kalev Tartu win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp
Remis21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
JK Viljandi Tulevik win38%2.632.3538.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FA Kalev Tartu2.26

Gospodarze share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals4.16Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 78% · Poniżej 22%

JK Viljandi Tulevik1.90

Goście share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitTak 76% · Nie 24%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

FA Kalev Tartu

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

JK Viljandi Tulevik

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkty3

SignalGoście clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
38%
6
Points from supplied form
3
2.26
Expected goals
1.90
FA Kalev TartuJK Viljandi Tulevik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FA Kalev Tartu signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Viljandi Tulevik signalGoście clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

FA Kalev Tartu vs JK Viljandi Tulevik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FA Kalev Tartu wygrana 41%,Remis 21%,JK Viljandi Tulevik wygrana 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.16 · Powyżej 2.5 78% · Current selection Powyżej