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EST Εσθονία - Esiliiga B · Round 21 ·

FA Kalev Tartu vs Βιλιάντι Τούλεβικ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–24.16 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου41%
Ισοπαλία21%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου38%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου41% selection probability
Projected score2–2FA Kalev TartuΒιλιάντι Τούλεβικ
Expected goals4.16Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω78% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι76% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
41% / 21% / 38%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.8%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1279.2%1.26
Άνω 78% · Κάτω 22%Goals 2.5Άνω78%1.28
Ναι 76% · Όχι 24%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι76%1.32
4.16 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–2
10.4 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapΒιλιάντι Τούλεβικ winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FA Kalev Tartu win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp
Ισοπαλία21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Βιλιάντι Τούλεβικ win38%2.632.3538.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FA Kalev Tartu2.26

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals4.16Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 78% · Κάτω 22%

Βιλιάντι Τούλεβικ1.90

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitΝαι 76% · Όχι 24%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

FA Kalev Tartu

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Βιλιάντι Τούλεβικ

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Πόντοι3

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
38%
6
Points from supplied form
3
2.26
Expected goals
1.90
FA Kalev TartuΒιλιάντι Τούλεβικ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FA Kalev Tartu signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Βιλιάντι Τούλεβικ signalΦιλοξενούμενος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

FA Kalev Tartu vs Βιλιάντι Τούλεβικ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FA Kalev Tartu νίκη 41%,Ισοπαλία 21%,Βιλιάντι Τούλεβικ νίκη 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.16 · Άνω 2.5 78% · Current selection Άνω