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EST Estonie - Esiliiga B · Match ·

JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Johvi FC Phoenix

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–24.62 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile32%
Nul20%
Victoire à l’extérieur48%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur48% selection probability
Projected score2–2JK Tallinna Kalev IIJohvi FC Phoenix
Expected goals4.62Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de84% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui81% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
32% / 20% / 48%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19.9%)Double chance1280.1%1.25
Plus de 84% · Moins de 16%Goals 2.5Plus de84%1.19
Oui 81% · Non 19%Les deux équipes marquentOui81%1.23
4.62 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
10.7 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapJohvi FC Phoenix winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Tallinna Kalev II win32%3.132.8831.1%+0.9 pp
Nul20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
Johvi FC Phoenix win48%2.081.8349%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev II2.35

Domicile share of expected goals 50.9%

Total expected goals4.62Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 84% · Moins de 16%

Johvi FC Phoenix2.27

Extérieur share of expected goals 49.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 81% · Non 19%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev II

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Johvi FC Phoenix

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Gagné probability excluding draw
48%
4
Points from supplied form
10
2.35
Expected goals
2.27
JK Tallinna Kalev IIJohvi FC Phoenix
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev II signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Johvi FC Phoenix signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Johvi FC Phoenix FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 2–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev II victoire 32%,Nul 20%,Johvi FC Phoenix victoire 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.62 · Plus de 2.5 84% · Current selection Plus de