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JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Johvi FC Phoenix

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–24.62 expected goals
Away form
Home win32%
Draw20%
Away win48%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win48% selection probability
Projected score2–2JK Tallinna Kalev IIJohvi FC Phoenix
Expected goals4.62Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over84% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes81% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 20% / 48%Match resultAway win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19.9%)Double chance1280.1%1.25
Over 84% · Under 16%Goals 2.5Over84%1.19
Yes 81% · No 19%Both teams scoreYes81%1.23
4.62 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapJohvi FC Phoenix winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Tallinna Kalev II win32%3.132.8831.1%+0.9 pp
Draw20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp
Johvi FC Phoenix win48%2.081.8349%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev II2.35

Home share of expected goals 50.9%

Total expected goals4.62Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 84% · Under 16%

Johvi FC Phoenix2.27

Away share of expected goals 49.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 81% · No 19%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev II

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Johvi FC Phoenix

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Win probability excluding draw
48%
4
Points from supplied form
10
2.35
Expected goals
2.27
JK Tallinna Kalev IIJohvi FC Phoenix
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev II signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Johvi FC Phoenix signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev II vs Johvi FC Phoenix FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev II win 32%,Draw 20%,Johvi FC Phoenix win 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.62 · Over 2.5 84% · Current selection Over