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Slovenčina
CHE Switzerland Super League · Zápas ·

FC Bazilej vs FC Thun

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–23.14 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich50%
Remíza24%
Výhra hostí27%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich50% selection probability
Projected score1–2FC BazilejFC Thun
Expected goals3.14Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac61% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
50% / 24% / 27%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Dvojitá šanca1276.2%1.31
Viac 61% · Menej 39%Goals 2.5Viac61%1.64
Áno 62% · Nie 38%Oba tímy skórujúÁno62%1.61
3.14 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–2
10.8 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapFC Thun winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Bazilej win50%2.001.8351.4%-1.4 pp
Remíza24%4.174.0023.5%+0.5 pp
FC Thun win27%3.703.7525.1%+1.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Bazilej1.41

Domáci share of expected goals 44.9%

Total expected goals3.14Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 61% · Menej 39%

FC Thun1.73

Hostia share of expected goals 55.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitÁno 62% · Nie 38%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

FC Bazilej

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomáci clean sheets: 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

FC Thun

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Body6

SignalHostia unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Výhra probability excluding draw
27%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.41
Expected goals
1.73
FC BazilejFC Thun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Bazilej signalDomáci clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Thun signalHostia unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

FC Bazilej vs FC Thun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Bazilej výhra 50%,Remíza 24%,FC Thun výhra 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Viac 2.5 61% · Current selection Viac