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CHE Switzerland Super League · Матч ·

Базель vs ФК Тун

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–23.14 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев50%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей27%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев50% selection probability
Projected score1–2БазельФК Тун
Expected goals3.14Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше61% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
50% / 24% / 27%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Двойной шанс1276.2%1.31
Больше 61% · Меньше 39%Goals 2.5Больше61%1.64
Да 62% · Нет 38%Обе забьютДа62%1.61
3.14 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
10.8 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapФК Тун winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Базель win50%2.001.8351.4%-1.4 pp
Ничья24%4.174.0023.5%+0.5 pp
ФК Тун win27%3.703.7525.1%+1.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Базель1.41

Хозяева share of expected goals 44.9%

Total expected goals3.14Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 61% · Меньше 39%

ФК Тун1.73

Гости share of expected goals 55.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 62% · Нет 38%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Базель

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Тун

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
27%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.41
Expected goals
1.73
БазельФК Тун
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Базель signalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Тун signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Базель vs ФК Тун FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Базель выигрыш 50%,Ничья 24%,ФК Тун выигрыш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · ТБ 2.5 61% · Current selection Больше