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CHE Switzerland Super League · Мач ·

Базел vs Тюн

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–23.14 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина50%
Равен24%
Победа за госта27%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина50% selection probability
Projected score1–2БазелТюн
Expected goals3.14Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над61% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
50% / 24% / 27%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Двоен шанс1276.2%1.31
Над 61% · Под 39%Goals 2.5Над61%1.64
Да 62% · Не 38%И двата отбора да отбележатДа62%1.61
3.14 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
10.8 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapТюн winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Базел win50%2.001.8351.4%-1.4 pp
Равен24%4.174.0023.5%+0.5 pp
Тюн win27%3.703.7525.1%+1.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Базел1.41

Домакин share of expected goals 44.9%

Total expected goals3.14Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 61% · Под 39%

Тюн1.73

Гост share of expected goals 55.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 62% · Не 38%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Базел

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Тюн

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Точки6

SignalГост unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
27%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.41
Expected goals
1.73
БазелТюн
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Базел signalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Тюн signalГост unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Базел vs Тюн FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Базел печеливш 50%,Равен 24%,Тюн печеливш 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.14 · Над 2.5 61% · Current selection Над