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CHE Switzerland Super League · Мач ·

Лугано vs Цюрих

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина62%
Равен22%
Победа за госта17%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина62% selection probability
Projected score2–1ЛуганоЦюрих
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
62% / 22% / 17%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Цюрих win (16.6%)Двоен шанс1X83.4%1.20
Над 46% · Под 54%Goals 2.5Под54%1.85
Да 41% · Не 59%И двата отбора да отбележатНе59%1.69
2.53 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.8 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapЛугано winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Лугано win62%1.611.5361.3%+0.7 pp
Равен22%4.554.3321.7%+0.3 pp
Цюрих win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Лугано1.87

Домакин share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 46% · Под 54%

Цюрих0.66

Гост share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 41% · Не 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Лугано

2.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Точки12

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Цюрих

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
17%
12
Points from supplied form
9
1.87
Expected goals
0.66
ЛуганоЦюрих
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Лугано signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Цюрих signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Лугано vs Цюрих FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Лугано печеливш 62%,Равен 22%,Цюрих печеливш 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Над 2.5 46% · Current selection Под