Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
56% / 26% / 18%SpielergebnisHeimsieg56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Zürich win (17.7%)Doppelte Chance1X82.3%1.22
Über 46% · Unter 54%Goals 2.5Unter54%1.85
Ja 41% · Nein 59%Beide Teams treffenNein59%1.69
2.53 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1——
9.8 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Lugano win56%1.79
Unentschieden26%3.85
FC Zürich win18%5.56
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Heim share of expected goals 73.9%
Total expected goals2.53Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Über 46% · Unter 54%
Auswärts share of expected goals 26.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nein 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Heim-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchLugano
WWLWW
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12
SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5
Auswärts-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchFC Zürich
WLLWW
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9
SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
56%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
18%12
Points from supplied form
91.87
Expected goals
0.66LuganoFC Zürich
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Lugano vs FC Zürich FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Lugano Gewinn 56%，Unentschieden 26%，FC Zürich Gewinn 18%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.53 · Über 2.5 46% · Current selection Unter。