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CHE Switzerland Super League · Spiel ·

St. Gallen vs Luzern

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.57 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg50%
Unentschieden23%
Auswärtssieg27%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg50% selection probability
Projected score2–1St. GallenLuzern
Expected goals3.57Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über69% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
50% / 23% / 27%SpielergebnisHeimsieg50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Doppelte Chance1276.6%1.31
Über 69% · Unter 31%Goals 2.5Über69%1.45
Ja 67% · Nein 33%Beide Teams treffenJa67%1.49
3.57 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.6 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapSt. Gallen winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St. Gallen win50%2.001.9149.4%+0.6 pp
Unentschieden23%4.354.0023.6%-0.6 pp
Luzern win27%3.703.5027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St. Gallen2.20

Heim share of expected goals 61.6%

Total expected goals3.57Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 69% · Unter 31%

Luzern1.37

Auswärts share of expected goals 38.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 67% · Nein 33%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

St. Gallen

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Luzern

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
6
2.20
Expected goals
1.37
St. GallenLuzern
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St. Gallen signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Luzern signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

St. Gallen vs Luzern FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St. Gallen Gewinn 50%,Unentschieden 23%,Luzern Gewinn 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.57 · Über 2.5 69% · Current selection Über