Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
50% / 23% / 27%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Dubbele Kans1276.6%1.31
Boven 69% · Onder 31%Goals 2.5Boven69%1.45
Ja 67% · Nee 33%Beide teams scorenJa67%1.49
3.57 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
10.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapSt Gallen winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St Gallen win50%2.001.9149.4%+0.6 pp
Gelijkspel23%4.354.0023.6%-0.6 pp
Lucerne win27%3.703.5027%0.0 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 61.6%
Total expected goals3.57Openen
Dedicated goals model: Boven 69% · Onder 31%
Uit share of expected goals 38.4%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 67% · Nee 33%Match profileOpenen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchSt Gallen
WWLLW
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9
SignalThuis won 3/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchLucerne
LLLWW
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
50%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
27%9
Points from supplied form
62.20
Expected goals
1.37St GallenLucerne
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
St Gallen vs Lucerne FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
St Gallen gewonnen 50%，Gelijkspel 23%，Lucerne gewonnen 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.57 · Boven 2.5 69% · Current selection Boven。