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CHE Switzerland Super League · Kamp ·

St Gallen vs Lucerne

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.57 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr50%
Uafgjort23%
Udesejr27%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr50% selection probability
Projected score2–1St GallenLucerne
Expected goals3.57Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over69% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
50% / 23% / 27%KampresultatHjemmesejr50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Dobbeltchance1276.6%1.31
Over 69% · Under 31%Goals 2.5Over69%1.45
Ja 67% · Nej 33%Begge hold scorerJa67%1.49
3.57 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapSt Gallen winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St Gallen win50%2.001.9149.4%+0.6 pp
Uafgjort23%4.354.0023.6%-0.6 pp
Lucerne win27%3.703.5027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Gallen2.20

Hjemme share of expected goals 61.6%

Total expected goals3.57Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 69% · Under 31%

Lucerne1.37

Ude share of expected goals 38.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 67% · Nej 33%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

St Gallen

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Lucerne

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Vundet probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
6
2.20
Expected goals
1.37
St GallenLucerne
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Gallen signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lucerne signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

St Gallen vs Lucerne FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Gallen vundet 50%,Uafgjort 23%,Lucerne vundet 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.57 · Over 2.5 69% · Current selection Over