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CHE Switzerland Super League · Zápas ·

St Gallen vs Lucerne

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–13.57 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich50%
Remíza23%
Výhra hostí27%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich50% selection probability
Projected score2–1St GallenLucerne
Expected goals3.57Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac69% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
50% / 23% / 27%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Dvojitá šanca1276.6%1.31
Viac 69% · Menej 31%Goals 2.5Viac69%1.45
Áno 67% · Nie 33%Oba tímy skórujúÁno67%1.49
3.57 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
10.6 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapSt Gallen winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St Gallen win50%2.001.9149.4%+0.6 pp
Remíza23%4.354.0023.6%-0.6 pp
Lucerne win27%3.703.5027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Gallen2.20

Domáci share of expected goals 61.6%

Total expected goals3.57Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 69% · Menej 31%

Lucerne1.37

Hostia share of expected goals 38.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 67% · Nie 33%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

St Gallen

1.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalDomáci won 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Lucerne

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Výhra probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
6
2.20
Expected goals
1.37
St GallenLucerne
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Gallen signalDomáci won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lucerne signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

St Gallen vs Lucerne FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Gallen výhra 50%,Remíza 23%,Lucerne výhra 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.57 · Viac 2.5 69% · Current selection Viac