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CHE Switzerland Super League · Zápas ·

Lugano vs FC Zürich

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich62%
Remíza22%
Výhra hostí17%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich62% selection probability
Projected score2–1LuganoFC Zürich
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menej54% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
62% / 22% / 17%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Zürich win (16.6%)Dvojitá šanca1X83.4%1.20
Viac 46% · Menej 54%Goals 2.5Menej54%1.85
Áno 41% · Nie 59%Oba tímy skórujúNie59%1.69
2.53 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.8 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapLugano winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lugano win62%1.611.5361.3%+0.7 pp
Remíza22%4.554.3321.7%+0.3 pp
FC Zürich win17%5.885.5017.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lugano1.87

Domáci share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 46% · Menej 54%

FC Zürich0.66

Hostia share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 41% · Nie 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Lugano

2.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Body12

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

FC Zürich

1.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Výhra probability excluding draw
17%
12
Points from supplied form
9
1.87
Expected goals
0.66
LuganoFC Zürich
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lugano signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Zürich signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Lugano vs FC Zürich FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lugano výhra 62%,Remíza 22%,FC Zürich výhra 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Viac 2.5 46% · Current selection Menej