Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
56% / 26% / 18%Esito partitaVittoria casa56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Zurigo win (17.7%)Doppia Chance1X82.3%1.22
Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%Goals 2.5Sotto54%1.85
Sì 41% · No 59%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo59%1.69
2.53 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1——
9.8 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Lugano win56%1.79
Pareggio26%3.85
FC Zurigo win18%5.56
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 73.9%
Total expected goals2.53Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%
Trasferta share of expected goals 26.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitSì 41% · No 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchLugano
WWLWW
Giocate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punti12
SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchFC Zurigo
WLLWW
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9
SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
56%
Vinta probability excluding draw
18%12
Points from supplied form
91.87
Expected goals
0.66LuganoFC Zurigo
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Lugano vs FC Zurigo FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Lugano vinta 56%，Pareggio 26%，FC Zurigo vinta 18%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.53 · Sopra 2.5 46% · Current selection Sotto。