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CHE Switzerland Super League · Partido ·

Lugano vs FC Zúrich

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local56%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante18%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local56% selection probability
Projected score2–1LuganoFC Zúrich
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de54% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
56% / 26% / 18%Resultado del partidoVictoria local56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Zúrich win (17.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X82.3%1.22
Más de 46% · Menos de 54%Goals 2.5Menos de54%1.85
Sí 41% · No 59%Ambos equipos marcanNo59%1.69
2.53 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.8 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Lugano win56%1.79
Empate26%3.85
FC Zúrich win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lugano1.87

Local share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 46% · Menos de 54%

FC Zúrich0.66

Visitante share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 41% · No 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Lugano

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

FC Zúrich

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Ganado probability excluding draw
18%
12
Points from supplied form
9
1.87
Expected goals
0.66
LuganoFC Zúrich
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lugano signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Zúrich signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Lugano vs FC Zúrich FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lugano ganada 56%,Empate 26%,FC Zúrich ganada 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Más de 2.5 46% · Current selection Menos de