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CHE Switzerland Super League · Partido ·

St. Gallen vs Lucerna

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.57 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local50%
Empate23%
Victoria visitante27%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local50% selection probability
Projected score2–1St. GallenLucerna
Expected goals3.57Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de69% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
50% / 23% / 27%Resultado del partidoVictoria local50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Doble Oportunidad1276.6%1.31
Más de 69% · Menos de 31%Goals 2.5Más de69%1.45
Sí 67% · No 33%Ambos equipos marcan67%1.49
3.57 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.6 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.9%Largest probability gapSt. Gallen winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St. Gallen win50%2.001.9149.4%+0.6 pp
Empate23%4.354.0023.6%-0.6 pp
Lucerna win27%3.703.5027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St. Gallen2.20

Local share of expected goals 61.6%

Total expected goals3.57Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 69% · Menos de 31%

Lucerna1.37

Visitante share of expected goals 38.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 67% · No 33%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

St. Gallen

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Lucerna

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Ganado probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
6
2.20
Expected goals
1.37
St. GallenLucerna
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St. Gallen signalLocal won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lucerna signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

St. Gallen vs Lucerna FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St. Gallen ganada 50%,Empate 23%,Lucerna ganada 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.57 · Más de 2.5 69% · Current selection Más de