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CHE スイス スーパーリーグ · 試合 ·

ルガーノ vs FCチューリッヒ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.53 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利56%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利18%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利56% selection probability
Projected score2–1ルガーノFCチューリッヒ
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー54% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
56% / 26% / 18%試合結果ホーム勝利56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FCチューリッヒ win (17.7%)ダブルチャンス1X82.3%1.22
オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%Goals 2.5アンダー54%1.85
はい 41% · いいえ 59%両チーム得点いいえ59%1.69
2.53 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.8 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ルガーノ win56%1.79
引き分け26%3.85
FCチューリッヒ win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ルガーノ1.87

ホーム share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%

FCチューリッヒ0.66

アウェイ share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 41% · いいえ 59%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ルガーノ

2.40pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn0Losses1ポイント12

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

FCチューリッヒ

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
勝ち probability excluding draw
18%
12
Points from supplied form
9
1.87
Expected goals
0.66
ルガーノFCチューリッヒ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ルガーノ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FCチューリッヒ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

ルガーノ vs FCチューリッヒ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ルガーノ 勝ち 56%,引き分け 26%,FCチューリッヒ 勝ち 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · オーバー 2.5 46% · Current selection アンダー